Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 69.224162 78.146648 87.266948 97.253955 107.850755 118.729695 130.712969
2025-11-09 54.694734 67.405815 80.994458 96.466774 113.468575 131.467295 151.850419
2025-11-16 46.378670 61.156195 77.491311 96.609753 118.117446 141.340293 168.095174
2025-11-23 39.305300 55.352481 73.661271 95.629040 120.852290 148.544010 180.900343
2025-11-30 34.887427 52.082906 72.245916 96.942801 125.769056 157.831399 195.701453
2025-12-07 31.363493 49.494981 71.302984 98.513497 130.731861 166.967948 210.157514
2025-12-14 27.134744 45.609501 68.465712 97.554090 132.513735 172.281983 220.115205
2025-12-21 23.063484 41.536240 65.086565 95.672477 132.983083 175.899203 227.972868
2025-12-28 21.808034 41.110738 66.201515 99.204571 139.832289 186.877249 244.259042
2026-01-04 20.031063 39.791752 66.044627 101.059819 144.589116 195.352992 257.611184
2026-01-11 17.542711 37.227657 64.091977 100.522359 146.333133 200.196643 266.670734
2026-01-18 15.336205 34.865300 62.253476 100.003985 148.000163 204.871676 275.469808
2026-01-25 13.672332 33.202706 61.297912 100.596422 151.049621 211.237588 286.331224
2026-02-01 11.740888 30.912829 59.339219 99.778917 152.270012 215.360880 294.515486
2026-02-08 10.296982 29.263978 58.176402 99.927379 154.638411 220.821010 304.246834
2026-02-15 8.707368 27.163583 56.231456 98.927408 155.473203 224.360190 311.642450
2026-02-22 7.855042 26.295844 56.042751 100.266372 159.269208 231.499614 323.339617
2026-03-01 7.141059 25.604251 56.069354 101.866879 163.380448 239.014431 335.484105
2026-03-08 5.952865 23.801277 54.291740 100.889281 164.091936 242.294478 342.489387
2026-03-15 4.733422 21.701307 51.915601 98.971754 163.499541 243.900931 347.421821
2026-03-22 4.610592 22.028205 53.419825 102.571013 170.177412 254.576976 363.392532
2026-03-29 4.208662 21.646247 53.743354 104.461117 174.584749 262.412221 375.905379
2026-04-05 3.468385 20.303437 52.412375 103.913589 175.717488 266.118289 383.359943